Frozen Fantasy: Data or the Eye Test?

Frozen Fantasy: Data or the Eye Test?

This article is part of our Frozen Fantasy series.

Data or intuition? Thinking or feeling? With so much info out there, I sometimes wonder how we ever decide anything about our fantasy teams.

Or life, but that's a whole different story.

Fantasy paralysis can be very real. Too much info can stop us from making the right decision at the right time.

But too little – or too much from just one perspective – is dangerous, too.

You need to have one foot firmly in each camp. Why? Because both sides can be wrong when used in isolation.

Take the Bruins. The numbers don't seem to lie. They're the best team in the NHL: 20-3-6 with a plus-35 goal differential. They haven't lost in regulation at home!

They're the second-best at putting goals in the net. And second-best at keeping them out. They're outscoring every other team in the NHL by more than half-a-goal per game.

They look dang good. But there are cracks. Big ones.

Like their PDO (shooting percentage + save percentage) – it's unreasonably high, so there will be regression. No team can keep up a 104.7.

The Bruins are 27th in the NHL in 5-on-5 shot attempts. And top-seven in allowing even-strength shots from the slot. You know – the most-dangerous place on the ice.


Are the Bruins as good as they look right now? No. Are they as precarious as their underlying stats suggest? Not a chance.

You need every input to be successful in fantasy, but too many inputs can create paralysis.

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Janet Eagleson
Janet Eagleson is a seven-time Finalist and four-time winner of the Hockey Writer of the Year award from the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. She is a lifelong Toronto Maple Leafs fan, loved the OHL London Knights when they were bad and cheers loudly for the Blackhawks, too. But her top passion? The World Junior Hockey Championships each and every year.
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