ADP Analysis: The Cam Effect (Kind of) Sinks In

ADP Analysis: The Cam Effect (Kind of) Sinks In

This article is part of our ADP Analysis series.

Last week's big news was Cam Newton joining the Patriots, a move that would seem to have significant value implications for a slew of players. In practice, the big ADP shifts were reserved to Newton and Jarrett Stidham, while the New England ballcarriers and pass catchers moved up only 1-3 spots apiece at their respective positions.

Interest in most of the Patriots remains tepid, but Newton himself has popped up to QB16 this week, following last week's jump from No. 33 to No. 20. There isn't a whole lot else to discuss from an ADP standpoint, as the biggest piece of fantasy-relevant news this week — Raheem Mostert's trade request — only came out Wednesday night.

Given the limitations, I'll use the bottom part of the article to simply highlight a group of players that I believe to be overvalued at their current ADPs. Per usual, we're using data from BB10s, comparing results from last week (June 29-July 3) to results from the past five days (July 4-8).

ADP Movement

QB Cam Newton

QB20, ADP 154.8 ➡ QB16, ADP 138.6

I was surprised when Newton barely cracked the top 20 after joining New England, as fantasy markets often overreact to big news. In this case it appears an under-reaction has been followed by a correction, with Newton moving much closer to where I have him ranked — 14th among QBs. And I actually have him 15th or 16th for best ball drafts, where job security and health

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jerry Donabedian
Jerry was a 2018 finalist for the FSWA's Player Notes Writer of the Year and DFS Writer of the Year awards. A Baltimore native, Jerry roots for the Ravens and watches "The Wire" in his spare time.
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