This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
This week, I felt the lines were pretty tight – in fact, my numbers were within half a point of the market's on seven of 14 games. I especially like the Cowboys and Chargers, while I'm dicey on the Saints, Bears and Eagles.
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Steelers +3 at Browns
I made this line three, so I was on the Browns when it was 2.5, but now that it's three it's a coin flip. Give me the team with the better coach – the Steelers.
Browns 20 - 19
Cowboys -4.5 at Lions
I don't know whether Matthew Stafford will play, and if he doesn't, I like the Cowboys to roll. Even if he plays, the Cowboys should run roughshod over Detroit's soft defense. Lay the wood.
Cowboys 27 - 17
Saints -5.5 at Buccaneers
I made this line exactly 5.5, so this is another coin flip for me, but I'll take the Saints to bounce back after an inexplicably terrible week.
Saints 30 - 23
Falcons +5.5 at Panthers
Maybe the Falcons have turned a corner on defense, but I'll need to see it for more than one game before I buy in. Give me the Panthers at home, coming off a tough loss.
Panthers 31 - 24