Injury Analysis: Assessing Risk for Key Players
Injury Analysis: Assessing Risk for Key Players

This article is part of our Injury Analysis series.

No player is immune to injury, but some are more vulnerable than others. Last season, the top-25 players by average draft position (ADP) averaged 2.2 games lost to injury or illness. If you do opt to gamble on an inherently risky player, it's often wise to invest in a reliable backup even if there is a trade off in terms of upside. To help gauge the level of risk with some big names, here's a breakdown of what to expect entering this season.  

Return = When a player is ready to play in games  

Low Risk = Player's injury risk should not impact his draft price 

Medium Risk = Player is worth drafting at a discount or if his injury risk is already baked into his draft price 

High Risk = Player should be avoided or drafted only at a large discount    

QUARTERBACK  

Carson Wentz, Eagles

Risk: High 
Injury: Stress Fracture in Back 
Return: Early Preseason 

Wentz has endured myriad injuries since entering the league in 2016. He suffered broken ribs during his rookie season, then tore the ACL and LCL in his left knee a year later. His 2018 campaign was cut short by a stress fracture in his back, an injury that often heals slowly due to limited blood flow to the area. These concerns are amplified by Wentz's medical record, including a previous stress fracture in his back that occurred during college. He returned for OTAs without limitations, but history suggests

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Stotts
Jeff Stotts works as a Certified Athletic Trainer (MAT, ATC, PES, CES). He won the 2011 Best Fantasy Football Article in Print from the Fantasy Sports Trade Association.
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