This article is part of our College Capper series.
A second 4-1 week in three weeks feels good. And that bad loss last week came with a depleted Louisville defense that I wouldn't have targeted had I had full information at publishing. Let's see if we can keep it going, partly by going to the same well I've gone to all year. Not seeing the obvious sucker bet that I've highlighted weekly and stayed away from. Perhaps Coastal Carolina -18.5 is a bit too obvious, and they are due a letdown. I'm also high on Clemson, and they feel discounted as my two spread projection models have them closer to seven or eight-point favorites, but it's a hair risky given we don't know who will suit up.
BYU (-3) at Boise State (Friday
BYU has been steamrolling teams, averaging a 44-13 victory through seven contests. This will certainly be their biggest test, and winning at Boise is no small ask, as the Broncos have fallen just three times at home since 2016. But this feels like a big step up for Boise, who has questions under center after Hank Bachmeier missed last week's game against Air Force, a contest where Boise's defense allowed 6.3 YPC. They've already surrendered six rushing scores in two games, and BYU averages three per game. This figures to be a four-quarter contest, but the Cougars will be fully focused with an undefeated season hanging in the balance, and take care of business.
Liberty (+14.5) at Virginia Tech
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