FanDuel NBA: Thursday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Thursday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

Thursday's nine-game slate bears a lot of similarities to Wednesday's action-packed evening of games. Late-breaking injury news will result in a late-swap bonanza on FanDuel. Although we've got a lot of information already available, the slate before the All-Star Break tends to be very unpredictable. It's critical to be around before lock to take advantage of late pivots tonight.

SLATE OVERVIEW

TOR @ BOS (-8) O/U: 217.5

LAC @ WAS (+6) O/U: 236

DET @ NYK (-5) O/U: 210

DEN @ IND (+4.5) O/U: 225.5

MIL @ MEM (+5.5) O/U: 233.5

MIA @ NOR (-3.5) O/U: 224.5

OKC @ SAS (-6) O/U: 219.5

SAC @ POR (-4.5) O/U: 238

GSW @ PHO (-5.5) O/U: 224

Odds via the FanDuel Sportsbook

Games/Teams to Target in BOLD, Games/Teams to Fade in ITALICS

INJURIES

TOR: Fred VanVleet (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

TOR: Pascal Siakam (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

TOR: OG Anunoby (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

The Raptors are on a back-to-back and are in the same injury scenario tonight. Rather than waste space below on this spot, let's take a quick look at the significant beneficiaries in Wednesday's game:

Kyle Lowry ($8,500): 40 FP

Norman Powell ($7,400): 42.5 FP

Chris Boucher ($6,600): 35 FP

Aron Baynes ($4,000): 21 FP

Terence Davis and DeAndre' Bembry didn't factor into the game to the extent we expected.  Overall, Powell and Boucher were the value-beaters, and I'd expect them to repeat as the best options in this spot.

LAC: Kawhi Leonard (back) - QUESTIONABLE

LAC: Marcus Morris (concussion) - DOUBTFUL

It wouldn't be surprising to see the Clippers take a cautious route with Kawhi, so he has more time to resolve the back issue leading into All-Star weekend. We'll identify a prime target later in the article, but I would anticipate boosts for Nicolas Batum ($4,200) and Reggie Jackson ($5,300), as well, if Kawhi sits.

DET: Jerami Grant (quad) - QUESTIONABLE

DET: Delon Wright (groin) - OUT

DET: Josh Jackson (Illness) - QUESTIONABLE

The Pistons injury scenario turned out to be a cornucopia of value for several players, as Dennis Smith ($5,500), Mason Plumlee ($6,300), Wayne Ellington ($4,000) and Svi Mykhailiuk ($3,700) all crushed projections. Rodney McGruder ($3,500) exploded, as well. Plumlee is a favorite call if Grant is out, and Smith is my favorite among the remaining mentions in the rotation.

NYK: Derrick Rose (COViD-19 Protocols) - QUESTIONABLE

NYK: Elfrid Payton (hamstring) - DOUBTFUL

NYK: Taj Gibson (ankle) - DOUBTFUL

FanDuel made a friendly call for the public by putting Nerlens Noel ($5,500) at center and Julius Randle ($9,300) at PF. The designation makes Noel a nice budget pivot at the position. If Rose is out, Immanuel Quickley ($5,100) is your top pivot.

DEN: JaMychal Green (shoulder) - OUT

DEN: Paul Millsap (knee) - OUT

DEN: Gary Harris (thigh) - OUT

DEN: Facundo Campazzo (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

Check in to confirm Denver's starting five and head there for your best options.

MIA: Jimmy Butler (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

MIA: Bam Adebayo (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

Miami's two best players could be out tonight. Kelly Olynyk ($4,400) is the prudent pivot for Bam, but there isn't anyone on the roster who can emulate Butler's production. Lately, Duncan Robinson ($4,800) has stayed off the injury report and produced well, so he's a fair budget play for the Heat.

SAS: LaMarcus Aldridge (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

SAS: Derrick White (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

SAS: Rudy Gay (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

The Spurs were last week's Raptors in terms of absences, but things have improved somewhat for San Antonio. This isn't a game I'm particularly high on, so I'll refrain from offering pivots here.

OKC: Al Horford (possible rest)

OKC: Hamidou Diallo (groin)

As I said, not a game I'm looking at tonight, but keep an eye on Horford. A rest day here could result in a nice day for Isaiah Roby ($4,600).

GSW: Kelly Oubre (wrist) - Questionable

There's a decent chance Oubre could miss another game as the Warriors finish out their first-half schedule with a back-to-back. Kent Bazemore ($4,200) had a great day in his absence, but the starters should be your primary focus here.

ELITE PLAYERS

Nikola Jokic ($11,600) tops the slate, and rightfully so. His recent performances are chock-full of gems in the 65-75 FP range, and the differential between Jokic and the next available center is vast. 

A whopping $4,100 separates Jokic and the second center on this slate (Deandre Ayton at $7,500), so the valuable center position is genuinely a go-big-or-go-home proposition tonight. You can't blame anyone for spending up for Jokic against the Pacers.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300) slides in right behind Jokic in a nice spot against the Grizzlies. These two teams have yet to meet, but Memphis should be able to keep it close, which is always a boon for Giannis, who tends to disappear in blowout contests. Bradley Beal ($10,400) and Damian Lillard ($10,100) round out the 10k-plus options, and to be honest, neither player jumps off the page. Lillard is on a back-to-back, and Beal has a tough matchup against the Clippers.

Better options emerge as we move through the 9k range. Russell Westbrook ($9,700) might be my favorite play in this range, despite facing the Clippers. Although some of his numbers don't quite hit value, his floor has been solid, and he possesses the ability to pop on any given night. Look Westbrook's way if you want to target upside in GPP formats.

Julius Randle ($9,300) does just about everything for the Knicks, and if Jerami Grant fails to take the floor, Randle could be in a plum spot for an explosive total. Finally, Zion Williamson's ($8,900) floor continues to amaze. Although he'll play a key role in All-Star Weekend, the Pelicans need to finish strong to have any hope of contending, so I don't think they will rest him against the Heat. 

EXPECTED CHALK

Paul George, LAC ($7,900) @ WAS

If Leonard remains out, George transforms into a gigantic chalk play, but he'll still see his fair share if his All-Star teammate accompanies him in this soft matchup against the Wizards. He blitzed them for 43 FP in their last matchup, and that's good enough for 5x at this salary point.

Chris Paul ($7,900) and Devin Booker ($7,600), PHO vs. GSW

Paul loves to turn it on against longtime rivals like Stephen Curry, and I think he's got an excellent chance to post a good number against the Warriors. Booker is uttered in the same paragraph because the guard is probably raring to go after a dramatic ejection against the Lakers, and his recent scores indicate that a reliable floor has returned.

Khris Middleton, MIL ($7,500) @ MEM

The numbers that stand out for Middleton recently are his assist totals. He typically is a shot-dependent guy who can save his line with rebounds, but he's on pace for a career-best average of 5.8 assists per game, and over his past six games, he's collected 34 of them. Middleton is still a great rebounder and is a great candidate tonight if he can string everything together.

Also consider: Jonas Valanciunas, MEM ($6,800) vs. MIL, Harrison Barnes, SAC ($7,000) @ POR

VALUE PLAYS

The bulk of our value recommendations appear in the injury section, but here are a few more budget options that you don't want to miss.

PF: Robert Covington, POR ($6,000) vs. SAC

SF: Will Barton, DEN ($5,600) @ IND

PG: Saben Lee, DET ($4,700) @ NYK

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
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