Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Houston Astros
10-Day IL
Injury Finger
Est. Return 6/1/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez stepped up in a huge way in the absences of Justin Verlander and Jose Urquidy, ascending to previously unforeseen new heights. Valdez was stellar over his 11 regular-season appearances (10 starts) with a 2.85 FIP over 70.2 innings, and continued to shine throughout the postseason, even earning the Game 1 nod over Zack Greinke in the ALCS. The lefty had a 1.88 ERA and 26:10 K:BB over 24 playoff innings. Don't kick yourself if you did not see this breakout coming. Valdez showed flashes in 2018 but had an ugly 13.4 BB% in 2019 before suddenly finding his control and shaving his walk rate to just 5.6% while adding nearly six percentage points to his strikeout rate. With his heavy sinker-curveball approach, Valdez does a good job keeping the ball on the ground (career 62.8 GB%), but he had a very favorable schedule last season and it's fair to wonder how much of the control gains he might give back. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#220
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Astros in August of 2018.
Starts up throwing program
PHouston Astros
Finger
April 8, 2021
Astros general manager James Click said Thursday that Valdez (finger) has resumed playing catch off flat ground, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Just over a month after suffering a fractured left ring finger that was initially expected to require surgery, Valdez is initiating a throwing program. Houston likely won't have a definitive target date for the southpaw's 2021 debut until he reaches the point in his rehab where he's pitching in simulated games or minor-league rehab games, but he'll essentially have to complete his normal spring-training build-up program all over again following his shutdown. If he experiences no discomfort while gradually increasing his throwing distance off flat ground for the next week or two, he could then be cleared to step back on the mound for bullpen sessions.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
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2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .220 173 49 24 31 5 2 1
Since 2019vs Right .266 444 95 36 106 14 2 13
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left .243 80 26 5 17 1 2 0
2020vs Right .238 208 50 11 46 5 1 5
2019vs Left .197 93 23 19 14 4 0 1
2019vs Right .291 236 45 25 60 9 1 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-23%
ERA at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.11 1.24 72.1 6 2 0 9.8 3.9 0.6
Since 2019Away 5.35 1.55 69.0 3 8 0 8.5 3.8 1.2
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 3.52 1.08 30.2 3 1 0 10.9 2.9 0.3
2020Away 3.60 1.15 40.0 2 2 0 8.8 1.4 0.9
2019Home 4.54 1.37 41.2 3 1 0 9.1 4.5 0.9
2019Away 7.76 2.10 29.0 1 6 0 8.1 7.1 1.6
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
The young left-hander found success with the Astros in 2018 -- mostly working as a spot starter -- with a 2.19 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 37 innings, and he carried that performance through his first 16 outings in 2019. But Valdez had a 9.66 ERA across his final 31.2 innings and wasn't selected for the playoff roster as a result. The 26-year-old's major issue has always been walks, and his 13.8 BB% last season remains a concern. He looked much more comfortable at Triple-A with a 69:17 K:BB over 44.1 frames, but he was unable to carry that success into the majors. Valdez's hard sinker helped produce a 62.1% groundball rate, but the 25.7 HR/FB% illustrates his general inconsistency. He split time between the rotation and bullpen in 2019, but he seems more likely to benefit the Astros in relief this season given the more reliable starting options on the team.
Despite having made just two appearances above Double-A, Valdez was summoned to the big leagues in late August and went on to make five starts and three relief appearances for the Astros, finishing with an excellent 2.19 ERA. Although the results were impressive, there are reasons to be skeptical. He was never viewed as a particularly interesting prospect and was thought to be ticketed for a bullpen role, which still seems likely as he threw his third pitch (a changeup) just 1.7% of the time. He walked far too many batters (15.6%) -- another sign of a potential bullpen future -- which contributed to a forgettable 4.65 FIP. An excellent 70.3% groundball rate makes the lefty somewhat interesting, but he's far from a lock as a future starter and would certainly have far less fantasy appeal if he ends up in a long-relief role.
More Fantasy News
Officially lands on inured list
PHouston Astros
Finger
April 1, 2021
Valdez (finger) was placed on the 10-day injured list as expected Thursday, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Outlook remains optimistic
PHouston Astros
Finger
March 30, 2021
Valdez's (finger) outlook remains positive, with Astros pitching coach Brent Strom saying Tuesday that the "news is very, very exciting and very good," Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
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Won't require surgery
PHouston Astros
Finger
March 17, 2021
Valdez won't require surgery, as his fractured left ring finger showed "significant healing" during Wednesday's evaluation, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
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Still hoping to avoid surgery
PHouston Astros
Finger
March 6, 2021
Valdez is still holding out hope that he can avoid season-ending finger surgery, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
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Season-ending surgery recommended
PHouston Astros
Finger
March 4, 2021
Valdez has been recommended for surgery to repair the fractured ring finger on his pitching hand, which would likely keep him out for the 2021 season, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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