Keynan Middleton
Keynan Middleton
26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Angels
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Tommy John surgery has a fairly high success rate, but it's not 100%, and in the case of Middleton, the jury is still out as to whether he will make a complete recovery. Middleton did make it back to the majors last August, roughly 15 months after he went under the knife. However, his velocity was way down. His fastball clocked in at 94.1 mph on average, down two ticks, while his slider and changeup were down 3-4 mph. It was a small sample, but Middleton was far less effective. He struck batters out at an 18.2% clip, down more than seven percentage points from his debut in 2017, and his swinging-strike and O-Swing rates were 7.7% and 21.8%, respectively (MLB averages are around 9.5% and 30%). It certainly doesn't mean he should be written off, but Middleton is an unknown right now. Hansel Robles put his stamp on the closer job and Middleton is not high on the list of speculative stashes. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $800,000 contract with the Angels in January of 2020.
Toils through rough spring
PLos Angeles Angels
March 28, 2020
Middleton allowed four runs on five hits and two walks while striking out six in five Cactus League innings.
ANALYSIS
Middleton was knocked around for four solo home runs to account for all four runs scored against him in Cactus League play. On a more positive note, the right-hander was reportedly throwing harder this spring after averaging 94.1 mph on his fastball last season -- a significant dropoff from the 96.0 mark he posted in 2018 prior to undergoing Tommy John surgery. The Angels are counting on Middleton to play an important role in their bullpen this season, but he threw only 7.2 big-league innings last year, so it remains to be seen whether he can get back to the level he was at prior to the surgery.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
13
Last 10 Games
13
Last 5 Games
12
How many pitches does Keynan Middleton generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Keynan Middleton generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-32%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .257 151 38 13 35 7 0 4
Since 2017vs Right .244 199 47 21 43 11 1 8
2019vs Left .000 8 2 2 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right .200 25 4 5 4 2 0 0
2018vs Left .273 37 8 3 9 2 0 1
2018vs Right .185 34 8 6 5 2 0 0
2017vs Left .268 106 28 8 26 5 0 3
2017vs Right .264 140 35 10 34 7 1 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.55 1.40 45.2 2 0 2 8.9 3.4 1.6
Since 2017Away 2.84 1.26 38.0 4 1 7 9.5 4.0 0.9
2019Home 2.45 2.18 3.2 0 0 0 2.5 9.8 0.0
2019Away 0.00 0.75 4.0 0 0 0 11.3 6.8 0.0
2018Home 2.70 1.40 10.0 0 0 1 8.1 4.5 0.9
2018Away 1.17 1.17 7.2 0 0 5 8.2 4.7 0.0
2017Home 3.94 1.31 32.0 2 0 1 9.8 2.3 2.0
2017Away 3.76 1.37 26.1 4 1 2 9.6 3.4 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Keynan Middleton compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.86
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
8.2
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
94.1 mph
 
ERA
1.17
 
WHIP
1.43
 
BABIP
.204
 
GB/FB
0.88
 
Left On Base
90.9%
 
Exit Velocity
91.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.0%
 
Spin Rate
2254 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
45.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Keynan Middleton
Mound Musings: Bullpens With Unanswered Questions
8 days ago
Brad Johnson examines bullpens that are in flux, like in Los Angeles where Ty Buttrey sits behind Keynan Middleton in the pecking order but offers good stuff according to Johnson.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the AL West
16 days ago
Brad Johnson finishes his preview of pitching around the league with the American League West, where in Los Angeles, Shohei Ohtani could be ready to start once MLB resumes.
Endgame Odyssey
Endgame Odyssey
49 days ago
49 days ago
Brad Johnson breaks down what he looks for when speculating on closers and takes a look at some unsettled bullpen situations around baseball.
Mound Musings: Seeking a Blueprint for Pitching Success
219 days ago
Brad Johnson takes a crack at identifying the characteristics of pitching success in this era of the homer, which includes closely observing guys like veteran ace Justin Verlander.
Mound Musings: Checking the AL Bullpens
331 days ago
Brad Johnson examines American League closer situations, and in Texas he anticipates Jose LeClerc will regain the closing job he recently lost.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
After an up-and-down rookie year in 2017, Middleton quickly emerged as one of the Angels’ top relievers in his sophomore season, taking over as the team’s closer in early April. The young right-hander converted six of his seven save chances before suffering a torn UCL in May that ended his season and forced him to undergo Tommy John surgery. Middleton posted a shiny 2.04 ERA prior to suffering the injury, though indicators -- mainly a dip in his K/BB from 3.5 K/BB in 2017 to 1.8 K/BB in 2018 and an unusually high strand rate (88.5%) -- suggest there could have been some luck at play (3.78 FIP). He did lower his home-run rate significantly from 2017. Middleton is set to miss a good chunk, if not all, of the 2019 season while recovering.
Don't chase wins, especially not relief-pitcher wins. Middleton racked up six wins while working out of the Angels' bullpen last season and even earned three saves as manager Mike Scioscia took a closer-by-committee approach for a while as the back end sorted itself out. He also had decent ratios to boot, but a 1.7 HR/9 and 84.7 percent left-on-base rate point to regression ahead. Plus, with Jim Johnson coming aboard via an offseason trade, there will be more competition for high-leverage work; a repeat of his six-win season would have been considered highly unlikely anyway. Middleton misses bats at a high rate, as evidenced by his 25.6 strikeout percentage and 16.6 percent swinging-strike rate, but his 2.8 BB/9 will be difficult to sustain with a 57.3 percent first-pitch strike rate. There are better options if you're looking to fill a mixed-league pitching staff with skilled middle relievers over fourth and fifth starters.
More Fantasy News
Pleased with velocity in debut
PLos Angeles Angels
February 26, 2020
Middleton indicated that he was "happy with" his velocity following his first Cactus League appearance Tuesday, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids arbitration
PLos Angeles Angels
January 10, 2020
Middleton and the Angels avoided arbitration Friday by agreeing to a one-year, $800,000 deal, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one hit in return to mound
PLos Angeles Angels
August 29, 2019
Middleton pitched two-thirds of an inning against Texas on Wednesday, giving up one hit.
ANALYSIS
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Activated from IL
PLos Angeles Angels
August 27, 2019
Middleton (elbow) was reinstated from the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Could be activated this week
PLos Angeles Angels
Elbow
August 26, 2019
Middleton (elbow) could return to the majors during the Angels' upcoming homestand, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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