Username:
Join now!
Password:

ADVERTISEMENT



< Back to All Blogs

Early ADP Trends For AL and NL-Only Leagues

Written By: Howard Bender on 1/27/2012 10:54 AM
The amount of data in for us to work with right now is fairly limited, but it’s probably a good idea to start the process of looking at some of the ADP trends in the single leagues as well.  We should see a major increase in draft reporting over the next few weeks, obviously as we near spring training, but also because the majority of free agents have signed on and AL and NL-only leagues have a much better idea of what their player pools will look like here in 2012.  If you’d like to look at the individual ADP trend reports, then you can follow the links here – AL Only ADP Trend Report; NL Only ADP Trend Report – but we’re just going to highlight a few things for now as the fluctuations should be significant as more data comes in.

AL Only League Trends (28 leagues reporting)

It’s pretty easy to understand why Albert Pujols has been the consensus top pick with little or no variance over the last few weeks.  However, coming in at number two is Miguel Cabrera who has actually seen an 84.5% increase over the last two weeks, moving from a third, fourth or even fifth pick to a no-brainer second choice.  But there’s a chance that you could see Miggy overtake Pujols in the coming weeks.  He’s actually moved up 46.0% in just the past week and now with news of Prince Fielder hitting behind him in that Tigers lineup, that number could increase.

We’re also seeing Adrian Gonzalez shoot up the rankings as he’s seen an increase of 63.1% in the past two weeks.  With Jacoby Ellsbury’s 25.1% drop and Justin Verlander’s 11.7% decrease, there’s a good chance we see A-Gone reach to the fourth overall pick in most leagues.

And speaking of Verlander’s drop, also very noticeable is the declining trend of starting pitching, well, top starting pitching to be exact.  With the exception of Jered Weaver who saw a 12.6% increase (from the 18th pick to the 16th pick), the top 10 starting pitchers in the AL have either taken a noticeable hit or have remained stagnant at best in the rankings.  With the more data that comes in, the obvious notion that offense wins fantasy becomes more and more prevalent.

Trust in rookies is losing its luster as more and more owners are relying on proven talent early on.  Desmond Jennings (-13.2%), Brett Lawrie (-23.0%), and Jemile Weeks (-10.4%) have all taken a hit in the rankings.  However, strange as it seems, Mariners rookie second baseman Dustin Ackley is bucking the trend and has actually seen a 51.7% increase over the last two weeks, moving from a mid-90’s pick into an early 60’s pick.  Perhaps more people are putting their faith into a stronger surrounding lineup as Ackley doesn’t project to be very productive in any category but batting average.  With some offensive upgrades, maybe his runs scored will see an increase this season.

Catchers, overall, are taking a significant hit in the ADP rankings right now.  Carlos Santana (-8.8%) is dangerously close to falling out of the top 20 and once you move past the next three or four backstops, the remaining catchers have all taken a significant hit.  In fact, the biggest catcher run, which you’ll find between picks 137 and 156, all have taken a hit of greater than 10.0%.  The position has one or two clear cut stars such as Santana and Mike Napoli, but the rest are being considered fairly interchangeable and people have decided that waiting on the position is the most sensible course of action.  If you want a top catcher, then you’ll still be able to wait until the third round, but beyond that, it looks like the 12 round is where most of the action will be.

Relievers, on the whole, are also being taken a little earlier as more drafts are reporting.  Mariano Rivera continues to be the first closer off the board with a fourth round selection, but you’re also seeing the closer runs moving up the board as well.  The first group, that consists of players like Jordan Walden (19.4%), Andrew Bailey (27.6%), Joakim Soria (17.7%), and Sergio Santos (5.3%) went from picks in the ninth and tenth rounds to picks in the seventh and eighth.  It appears that if you want to lock into some saves this season, you’re going to have to pay a heftier price than in years past.

The Biggest Winner:  Mark Melancon, RP  BOS (90.0%) – It appears that few people have faith in Andrew Bailey staying healthy this year or even holding down the job.  Melancon has shot up the ADP charts by nearly 100 picks.  He went from being taken somewhere around the 208th pick to the 109th in just a two week span.

The Biggest Loser:  Victor Martinez, C  DET (-84.3%) – Surgery to fix a torn ACL in the off season coupled with missing all of the upcoming season will do that to your draft position.

NL Only League Trends (46 leagues reporting)


Position scarcity, particularly at shortstop, is the name of the game here in the NL.  Troy Tulowitzki (181.9%) is just a few drafts away from taking over the number one overall spot while both Jose Reyes (25.9%) and Hanley Ramirez (19.5%) have cracked the top 10 overall.  Most people in mixed leagues have been down on both of them due to injury history, but in NL –only leagues, owners are locking them in as quickly as possible.  In fact, despite the distinct separation in ADP rankings, all of the top 10 NL shortstops have seen an increase over the last two weeks.

No one is scared of Ryan Braun’s potential 50-game suspension.  He’s seen a 103.5% increase over the last two weeks and sits just outside the top 10 overall.  Supposedly there will be a resolution by the start of spring training, but for now, no one seems concerned.  And rightfully so…a mid-June arrival for Braun will still produce better totals than most of the other NL outfielders out there.

Starting pitching gets a little more attention in the NL than it does in the AL.  Three of the top 10 overall are starting pitchers, none of whom seem to be sliding out of their positions.  Clayton Kershaw at #6 overall, has taken the biggest hit at -9.2%, but as we all know, fluctuations of less than 10.0% are fairly negligible, even this high up in the rankings.  As for the others, the other seven pitchers who make up the top 10 all go before the 33rd overall pick and the only one who has seen any real decrease is Cole Hamels who remains at #15 overall but has seen an 18.2% drop over the past two weeks.

Welcome to the NL:  #50 Michael Cuddyer, OF  COL (+190.1%) – Imagine if he was listed as a 2B here on MDC; #57 Gio Gonzalez, SP WAS (+165.7%) – primed for a big increase in K’s; #86  Trevor Cahill, SP  ARI (+87.2%) – Obviously he’s been in the NL longer than the other two which is why his increase is starting to stabilize.  Imagine over the next few weeks how big a jump Marco Scutaro is going to have as a newcomer to the NL and a shortstop!

If you thought third base was thin in mixed leagues, check out the fact that there are only four NL third basemen in the top 40 overall picks.  And until you get down to Mat Gamel (#183 overall, #12 for 3B, -4.3% ADP over last 2 weeks), every third sacker is on the rise.  It looks like even if you want a top 10 guy, you’re going to have to overpay a little.

Bryce Harper has seen an increase of 98.3% over the last two weeks, moving from a 17th or 18th round selection to a ninth rounder in your average 12-team leagues.  Even without the guarantees of playing time, he is going to be someone you need to act fast on if you want to get him.  The rumors of an early May call-up are running rampant and people are going to pay for that in drafts.

The Biggest Winner:  Michael Cuddyer, OF COL (190.1%) – A few came close to him, but that power now in Colorado with second base eligibility is going to be one highly coveted commodity come draft day.

The Biggest Loser:  Brett Jackson, OF  CHC (-36.0%) – With the Cubs inability to trade Alfonso Soriano or Marlon Byrd, coupled with the signing of David Dejesus, it looks like Jackson will toil in the minors for a longer than people had hoped.  He looks like a decent mid-season call-up, but his value is taking a hit in 2012.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for over ten years on a variety of web sites including Rotowire, FanGraphs and The Fantasy Baseball Buzz.  You can follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or email him at rotobuzzguy@gmail.com.
 

By fafaboke, 1/30/2012 10:04 PM
Michael Kors outlet Michael Kors Handbags Michael Kors Watches Michael Kors Shoes Michael Kors Michael Michael Kors Michael Kors Bags Michael Kors Watch juciy couture uk juciy couture tracksuits

By jake1989, 2/7/2012 9:45 PM
It is well known that Moncler are famous for its high quality and lowest price. We offer all kinds of Moncler Jacken like doudoune moncler at a low price. Moncler Outlet has been well accepted owning to its firmness of fashion. People can get more benefits from Moncler Online. Wonderful moncler outlet! Cheap Moncler Sale from our online shop are waiting for you!

By canada_goose_jakker, 2/7/2012 10:57 PM
nike free nike free run nike free 3.0 nike free 5.0 nike free 7.0 canada goose jakker canada goose sale canada goose online Canada Goose Jakke Canada Goose Coats Canada Goose Jackets woolrich parka woolrich arctic parka woolrich online shop hogan scarpe hogan outlet hogan shoes woolrich outlet woolrich arctic parka woolrich sale woolrich online tods shoes tods outlet tods womens shoes tods mens shoes Snapback Hats New Era Snapbacks Snapback Caps baseball caps baseball hats NY caps MLB hats new era caps

By beatssolohd, 2/25/2012 12:16 AM

Casque Beats

casques beats

beats pas cher

beat casque beats monster casque monster beats casque audio beat

By Donna2090, 3/8/2012 6:20 PM
Our Coach Purses Outlet possess a big selection of Coach Shoulder Bags on our on Coach Outlet Online. Coach Outlet offer inexpensive Coach Bags arrive in Coach handbags outlet an assortment of colors, shapes, sizes and designs providing you Cheap Coach Purses the choice of choosing precisely what you would like that is appropriate for just about any occasion Coach Outlet Online. You would be the concentrate from the crowd Coach Purses Outlet using the contemporary style and design cheap coach purses. For quite a few years, Coach Outlet Store Online has undergone earth-shaking changes, but its essence remained. Cheap Coach handbags not merely embodies the modern United States existence idea of free, open, and spend consideration to item style and design and purpose from the balance, in conditions of design coach outlet store online to detail reflects the craftsman consummate skill, and reflect towards highest degree suitable style sense, comfort, and no 1 can resist, in Coach outlet purchase to provide prospects with quite a few new surprises in any way times. Discount Coach Handbags on selling are custom brand name and interesting due to the fact of exceptional design discount coach purses several from others.

By yxhlhq, 3/30/2012 6:26 PM
Shoes master Christian Louboutin PumpsChristian Louboutin recently Christian Louboutin Bootiesthe depth of the animal kingdom Christian Louboutin Sandalsto find new inspiration. The toe of the high heels in the 2011 autumn and winter series, Christian Louboutin Slingbacksa named "Alex" is designed into the shape of lion claws, and Christian Louboutin Wedgesjoined the fur elements. Shoes front Christian Louboutin Eveningend styling is four separate toes, claw part is black, surrounded by decorated with brown fur. Christian Louboutin PumpsAt the heel, in addition to a touch of Louboutin's iconic red outside Qianman Christian Louboutin Mary Jane Pumpsyellow crystals, which sells more than 30, 000 yuan. The end of August when shooting in Mexico, "Kate's having an affair Christian Louboutins EveningDiary of Sarah Jessica Parker wore this pair of shoes, Unfortunately, Giambattista Valli robe inadvertently covered shoes. Then, Blake Lively, this pair of shoes to shine in the U. S. drama "Gossip Girl". Play, this pair of shoes Christian Louboutin Flatswith a brown leather pants and a loose shawl collar cardigan. Lion claw shoes priced up to ¡ê 3, 195. Christian Louboutin SandalsAlthough these shoes are elegant and beautiful, but unless you really put it down on these "small lion claws, otherwise you are likely to want to spend such a large sum of money. Jordan Air Jordan Shoes 2012basketball shoes are a sporting goods brands to Jordan Shoes Retro 1produce shoes of Jordan. Jordan's basketball shoes for basketball fans to wear. Comfortable, stylish design and good protection Michael Jordan Shoesperformance by the majority of basketball lovers. Jordan Shoes Retro 2The main features of Jordan basketball shoes and identify the body of the shoe or Jordan Shoes Retro 3heel will be printed on a sign of Jordan dunks. Jordan:February 17, 1963, beats by drea then common enough on the day, Beats Headphonesthe ghettos of Brooklyn, New York, here beats by dreis full of street violence and drugs. A black family welcomed the arrival of a little life, the parents side of this little baby was pleased, while worrying about beats by dretheir own families may not be able to afford a fourth child support payments. But no one knows the baby grew up to change the world. He is the greatest player in NBA history - Michael Jordan. He has won six O'Brien Cup, beats by dreled the Chicago completed a great two three consecutive. 1992 participated in the Barcelona Olympic Games, the achievements of the great 'dream'.

By mon520, 4/20/2012 6:08 PM
Someone introduce me to the gucci outlet store to shopping gucci shoes for my sister's birthday So I click the gucci outlet online to pick a pair of really gucci usa shoes for my sister!

By Ketchin2012, 5/17/2012 8:11 PM
Coach Purses Outlet having one of their own Cheap Coach Handbags is no longer a fantasy. Our Coach Outlet Online offer you a chance to reach out to the Coach Factory. There are quality assurance, and the Coach Outlet price is not high. Coach Outlet Store Online is not just reflected in the cheap, but also Coach Outlet Online is clear and concise style, will make you look more intelligent, more generous and more noble louis vuitton purses. Nowadays, people regularly cast an admiring eye on Coach Outlet. Why? While the quality and design of Coach Outlet Online have really got our attention. With the Coach Factory clever design and fantastic styling, Coach Handbags Outlet is well worth a trip with Coach Bags. And Cheap Coach Purses can be regarded as a great gift because there are many different styles that could be coordinated with different personalities together. Coach Outlet Canada is recognized to be among the most incredible handbags. Coach Factory Outlet is a fact that they do have exceptionally well-made features and qualified styles for grabbing your attentions Coach Outlet Online. Coach Shoulder Bags have a lot of types and designs for you to select from and they maintain obtaining much better and much better. Shopping for Coach Factory Outlet designer Coach Bags from our Coach Outlet can be a very nice experience. From http://www.coachoutletpursesa.com/ You can experience gorgeous louis vuitton handbags and charming feeling with these seasonal charm Coach Factory Outlet.

By ylang, 5/17/2012 8:18 PM
Come to

coach factory outlet

and find brand new Coach Factory Shoes Ivory Gray here, which are one of the casual, leisure yet uncommon Coach Factory shoes for women on sale.

coach factory online

is the prior choice on the market today, because you can change the value of the innovative design of the fashion and high quality hides are popular, because of other accessories, best option.

coach factory outlet online

is one of the four playable survivors in Left 4 Dead 2. He was a high school health teacher and coordinator for the freshman football team before the Infection hit his hometown of Savannah.


By ylang, 5/17/2012 8:18 PM
Successfully buying products from the

louis vuitton sale

online now, people can even have handbags as gifts. Time is limited. Just seize the chance.Offering quality LV products with favorable prices,

louis vuitton outlet

store is at your service. Hurry up, or you can not seize the chance.

louis vuitton

Outlets offer famous classic brand for LV,Channel, with perfect service.So become to the VIP soon.They offer more new styles,like LV purses,LV wallets etc. And are tested by product quality monitoring center .


By ylang, 5/17/2012 8:18 PM

coach outlet online

Store guarantee that all the coach handbags offered are own high quality. In addition , all of them are sold at an unexpected low price.If you want to purchase, just visit their website.

coach outlet store

supplies customers with cheaper Coach items of authentic quality. Come to the Coach Factory Outlet to find your own kingdom of vogue.With the safe door to door shipping, the

coach outlet

will send the products to your hands, which are of top quality and at competitive factory prices.


By ylang, 5/17/2012 8:19 PM

coach outlet

handbags's special design and fashion is certainly and so eye-catching, I hope you are able to get much more attention towards the Cheap Coach Crossbody.

coach outlet store online

marketed properly all greater compared to earth and earn cozy praise from customers. They are made from the finest leather and fabric.

coach outlet online

offers free and fast shipping. Usually, ships between 5-8 business days. So you do not need to wait for a long time.


By susanoff, 5/18/2012 12:09 AM

louis vuitton uk

are exquisitely made and there are logos in the middle of them. The whole design is simple but elegant. You definitely deserve having one.On

louis vuitton online shop

, Women Monogram Canvas Outlet Collection Outlet Cosmic Blossom.


By susanoff, 5/18/2012 12:11 AM
Here is a world of

louis vuitton outlet

where you can find all kinds of new style and fashion Louis Vuitton bags. We really want to lead the trend and let our customer in the pursuit of luxury and fashion, satisfied the needs of customers.

louis vuitton bags outlet

However, with all the plethora of fantastic wonderful reproduction shoes in the marketplace it¡¯s actually not so faithfully to look for 1 related your thing or simply favored company. In this predicament a well known cosmetic makeup products plus aroma manufacturer tried a profitable business that is creating smells which have been filled and also smelled just like their own higher in price designs. Certain unique louis vuitton outlet shots utilizing the guy who you could visit during Christmas time, has to be a wonderful tag with popularity to get your pet. The present activities currently have launched the vast majority of modern luggage employing one the luggage manufactured by LV are considered at the pinnacle. The earliest of all position depending on very first Lv piece might it be hardly ever is supplied in lessened or completely get costs. Sehmbi in most cases keep going via previous years, providing them with brand new hues and completes as opposed to feeling the requirement to create fresh styles just about every season.The dream of finding a residual income business opportunity is alive and well for many people. But is it a realistic dream? Yes,botteLouis Vuitton handbags pas chere, if you know where to look.


By susanoff, 5/18/2012 12:12 AM

coach outlet

can provide the coach exactly the same is expected in a retail store. It can help you find bags of various colors, shapes and designs, which prove once again that the coach is actually a selection for the housekeeper.Are you still worrying about where to buy yourself a Coach? Then

coach outlet store online

Online offering top-quality goods and first-class service can be your way-out.Regarding the craft, the goods from

coach outlet online

is tight, the seams are aligned and details emulate the designer's actual handbags.


By meizi, 5/21/2012 2:20 AM
Bodyweight cheap sunglasses suspension training Fake Oakley Sunglasses has quickly become one of the latest and greatest methods of fat loss. People are now going against the traditions of going to the Cheap Ray Ban Sunglasses and using fitness machines Sunglasses Outlet and are instead using their own bodyweight to lose weight. Bodyweight suspension training has a lot of pros but it also has some cons, be sure you know them all before you invest your time and energy into Replica Sunglasses outlet any one training system.

By xujie005, 5/21/2012 8:49 PM

louis vuitton uk

boast glamor along with utility. They are spacious, practical and usable, and are available in different shapes and sizes.in fact,

louis vuitton

is one of the most famous fashion design master.he opened the fist suitcase shop called after his name.Here is a world of

louis vuitton outlet

where you can find all kinds of new style and fashion Louis Vuitton bags. We really want to lead the trend and let our customer in the pursuit of luxury and fashion, satisfied the needs of customers.


By xujie005, 5/21/2012 8:51 PM

coach outlet online

is your smart choice when you want to get the discount Coach accessory. You can find the exact Coach Bags and other accessory you want at a low price that's right for you. My dear friends, let the

coach outlet online

pave your way into the world of high fashion with their ultimate fashion factory.Coach handbags and purses at the

coach factory outlet

with new designs make them have the most outstanding and eye-catching advantage among other brands goods.If you want to buy quality Coach products at lower prices, visiting

coach outlet

online can be your best decision.


By xujie005, 5/21/2012 8:53 PM

coach factory outlet

uses graceful accessories to match the classical logo of coach, which is the best combination of coach. The handmade coach products?can make you more charming and graceful.

coach factory online

daily news purse allow clearly tally it is advantage over various kinds of achievement costs wallets. Tho.You can discover all types of style and design bags on

coach factory outlet online

, including the hot selling coach purses and coach wallets. The coach wallets are popular among the designer luxury, simply due to their craftsmanship is extremely good as well as the price is reasonable to you.


By kura0, 5/22/2012 5:24 PM
Coach Factory Outlet brand is one of the most well-known brands in the Coach Outlet world. Both men and women recognize the Coach logo and millions continue to support Coach Outlet season after season. Coach Outlet Online are the best choice for women concerned about fashion. The Coach Outlet production and style of handbag is well welcomed by consumers. Coach Factory are world-class classic Coach Hobo Bags with chevron pattern of the canvas texture, leather details, dual front bags, compartment design and adjustable shoulder strap knitting. Coach Outlet Online offer purses are worn either by your side or tucked under your arm Sac Louis Vuitton. If you are a person concerned about fashion, then you will find more and more women are carrying a unique "C" mark the Coach Factory. The Coach Outlet Online provides you various kinds of elegance bags. Coach Outlet Online new and unique design is different from the others, the new design of Coach bags uses the pixel design with resolution Coach Outlet. In whatever kind of occasion, Coach Outlet Online will be your best choice to dress up yourselves to be the most focus Coach Factory Online. The new series of Coach bags of this season will be very cool Coach Outlet for you to http://www.coach--factory-outlet.org/ wear the Coach sunglasses and carry the Coach bags in the Louis Vuitton pas cher of this cool summer.

By kkmike, 6/20/2012 5:19 PM
Welcome to Monster beats by dre for cheap , high quality and new stylish beats by dre monster for cheap on sale fast delivery.our [url=http://www.monsterbeats-earphone.com]Monster Beats Earphones[/url] By website to see, welcome you the arrival! Monster Beats studio Headphones is undoubtedly an extrodinary model by using exquisite design. It has become the most diversified unit at Monster Beats by Dr. Dre to line of headphone. Image of popular film character just like: spiderman, superman, and transformers can be obtained at its style and design. Decoration of diamond is required too, so its so noble, exquisite and beautiful. Scenario, it offer you extrodinary superior good quality. All of such above qualities make this edition very preferred.
We push the shopkeeper is this kinds: Monster by Dre Beats Studio High-Definition Headphones White , Butterfly by Vivienne Tam Monster Earphones with ControlTalk , Lady Gaga In-Ear Red High Performance Headphones . But it is Monster beats headphones studio lightning and Beats studio Monster kobe with diamond headphones of this is a recent multiplayer beginning to like.


By xiaotongs, 7/11/2012 5:23 AM
You just at our Beats By Dr Dre online store. Do you want to save money, our cheap Beats By Dr Dre is your best choose. Click Dre Beats Australia, a lot of beats In Ear headphones here for you! Such as: Monster Beats Pro in ear headphone, Monster Beats Solo in ear headphone, Monster Beats Studio in ear headphone, Monster Beats Tour in ear headphone, Monster Beats DETOX in ear headphone,Monster Beats HeartBeats in ear headphone,Monster Beats iBeats in ear headphone and so on!

By aahh, 7/16/2012 12:18 AM
Feather earrings are pandora charms acceptable blazon cheap pandora charms plenty fast valid today. Handmade pandora jewelry can be as fully paid, but you can pandora beads both be activated to Pandora Rings perform your own if you have Pandora Earrings the reputation of the artistic and Pandora Bracelets human aggressive. Pandora Necklace sale,You can decorate Pandora Silver Beads the accumulation of acceptable cardinal piece of Pandora Wood Beads equipment suppliers. This can be a hobby plentiful, but may take some time before booty in adjustment Pandora Gold Beads of the pupil and how to get the job done. Companies have already fixed the acceptable Pandora Letter Beads benefit for companies with less backbone and time. When it comes to handmade art, feather Pandora Silver Charms earring scan due to the market is also not too expensive piece of equipment.

By agagshoes, 12/13/2012 9:28 PM
Cheap Beats by Dre better styling, color, sound insulation, better access to young fashion people of all ages.Headset cavity with plastic material, the use of its variability, create a new slimline core pulling elbow design, unlike other cylindrical structure, the slender tube bending allows the tone in the body cavity can be a better buffer processing, the resonance effect of small Cheap Beats to get better extension of the sound made possible modification of sound to enhance the role of strong, aluminum front chamber combined with each other. The fringe has a simple micro-controller on the Monster headphone wire, with the iPhone to answer the call with the selections feature also supports pause, next and other music operations as well as volume control, microphone switching function, easy to use. Beats by Dre Cheap with iPhone-specific audio interface 4-pin 3.5mm 3-pin interface different from ordinary headphones with the iPhone, iPhone, many personalization functions. Generally speaking, Beats by Dre Cheap, a shape very personal alternative iPhone portable headphones, the body reveals a vivid fashion element, the headset marked with an avant-garde label, it is worth the concern of the girls in the fruit powder.Headphone choice, the girls thinking sensibility, and thus easier to be interested in beautiful shape, color and facial products, which sound style is clear and well-proportioned, bright and clean and accurate product more suitable for girls to listen to soft music like Cheap Dr Dre Beats. Therefore, we simply will be available in the market recently, a colorful, stylish, style, suitable for light music Cheap Beats Headphones for a summary Cheap Dr Dre Beats, hoping to buy everyone¡¯s headphones produce timely help.

You must be logged in to comment. Not a member yet? Join Now!


ADVERTISEMENT